When considering building a smartphone app for your business, it is important to understand the nature of your target audience. The landscape changes rapidly and differs from country to country. There are multiple mostly incompatible smartphone platforms battling for supremacy, constantly gaining or losing market share. Yesterday’s top dog might be tomorrow’s has been.
A glut of surveys are published throughout the year that attempt to provide an overview of the current state of the smartphone world but often they just end up adding to the confusion. I lost count of how many separate occasions Android was reported to have overtaken the iPhone in the last year. The problem is that the surveys often measure different things in different ways. Some count only new activations while others monitor total device ownership. Sometimes they can’t even agree on the definition of a smartphone and, even if they can, the data presented in one survey is often from a different territory to the data in another survey.
Any surveys that you consult have to be interpreted carefully if you are going to use them as the basis for important decisions such as which platform(s) to prioritise. The first question to consider is where are your target audience? If your business is constrained by geography then you’re only really interested in local statistics, for instance those for the UK. Alternatively, if you aim to reach the entire English-speaking world then the data for the much bigger US market is more significant. And if you intend to engage in multiple languages across the world then you should be looking at global data.
Secondly, while surveys based on the number of new activations provide a good indication of where the market is heading, they don’t tell you how many users each platform has right now. Many users are tied into 18-month or 24-month contracts with mobile operators. They are still potential users of your app but they don’t show up in the new activations surveys because they are not buying new devices.
With all this in mind, I wanted to highlight a couple of surveys that have been published in the past week that provide a useful snapshot of where things stand right now (as of the end of the third quarter of 2011). The first is from Kantar Worldpanel ComTech and covers Great Britain. It shows that 43.8% of the population now owns a smartphone (and this is increasing significantly with 69.1% of new phones sold being smartphones). Half (49.9%) of British smartphones run Android, a phenomenal increase over the last 18 months. RIM’s Blackberries (22.5%) are in second place ahead of Apple’s iPhones (18.5%), suggesting that the oft-predicted demise of the Canadian manufacturer is yet to materialise in the UK. Microsoft’s Windows phones have been almost completely ignored by British buyers so far.
|RIM+(22.5%25)|Apple+(18.5%25)|Symbian+(6%25)|Others+(3.1%25)&chdlp=b&chp=4.7&chma=0,0,0,65&chtt=GB+Smartphone+Market+Share+Q3+2011)
|Apple+(28%25)|RIM+(18%25)|Microsoft+(7%25)|Others+(4%25)&chdlp=b&chp=4.7&chma=0,0,0,50&chtt=US+Smartphone+Market+Share+Q3+2011)
The second survey, from Nielsen, provides an equivalent view of the US market. The ratio of smartphones to non-smartphones (43% vs. 57%) is almost identical. Android is number one in America too but not quite as dominant with a stronger showing from Apple pushing RIM into third place. Microsoft has at least registered on the other side of the Atlantic but is still a distant fourth.
The broad similarity of the UK and US figures might lead you to assume that the picture is the same across the world. That’s not the case and if you plan to target other countries you should strive to determine the local situation. As an example, in parts of Asia the popularity of Android is even higher, driven in part by loyalty to home-grown brands. For instance, figures from the previous quarter show 85% Android penetration in South Korea, home to Samsung and LG, and 71% in Taiwan where HTC is based.